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Artificial Intelligence for Financial Markets

Name: Artificial Intelligence for Financial Markets
Brand: Springer Nature Switzerland AG
SKU: 38633862
Price: 138.14 EUR
Availability: InStock
Author: Thomas Barrau
ISBN: 9783030973186

The Polymodel Approach

Thomas Barrau

Raphael Douady

Език

Английски език

Книга С твърди корици

Код Либристо: 38633862

Издателство Springer Nature Switzerland AG, юни 2022

This book introduces the novel artificial intelligence technique of polymodels and applies it to the... Цялото описание

Код Либристо: 38633862

334 b

138.14 €

270.18 лв

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This book introduces the novel artificial intelligence technique of polymodels and applies it to the prediction of stock returns. The idea of polymodels is to describe a system by its sensitivities to an environment, and to monitor it, imitating what a natural brain does spontaneously. In practice this involves running a collection of non-linear univariate models. This very powerful standalone technique has several advantages over traditional multivariate regressions. With its easy to interpret results, this method provides an ideal preliminary step towards the traditional neural network approach. The first two chapters compare the technique with other regression alternatives and introduces an estimation method which regularizes a polynomial regression using cross-validation. The rest of the book applies these ideas to financial markets. Certain equity return components are predicted using polymodels in very different ways, and a genetic algorithm is described which combines these different predictions into a single portfolio, aiming to optimize the portfolio returns net of transaction costs. Addressed to investors at all levels of experience this book will also be of interest to both seasoned and non-seasoned statisticians.