Над 4 милиона заглавия на английски и други езици! Открийте новата си история още днес! Безплатна доставка за поръчки над 69.99€

Проверка на състоянието на поръчката

Станете част от общност от любители на книгите от цял свят и получавате много предимства. Създай на безплатен акаунт

Безплатна доставка със Еконт над 69.99 €

Куриер Speedy 3.49 € Пункт на Speedy 3.49 € ЕКОНТ 3.99 € Еконтомат/Офис на Еконт 3.99 € Ekont Box 3.99 € Sameday 3.99 € Sameday box 3.99 € Box Now 3.99 €

Контакт

Как се пазарува?

Помощ

Моят акаунт

▸ Празна :-(

Rational Decisions

Ken Binmore

Език

Английски език

Книга С меки корици

Код Либристо: 04365983

Издателство Princeton University Press, март 2011

It is widely held that Bayesian decision theory is the final word on how a rational person should ma... Цялото описание

Код Либристо: 04365983

87 b

35.99 €

70.40 лв

Външен склад Изпращаме след 8-11 дни

30 дни за връщане на стоката

Клиентите са закупили също

Spieltheorie Ken Binmore

С меки корици

10.18 € 19.92 лв

Tmel společnosti John Elster

С твърди корици

14.63 € 28.62 лв

Verordnung über die Erstreckung von Recht der Verwaltung des Vereinigten Wirtschaftsgebiets auf dem Gebiet der Wertpapierbereinigung und des Kapitalve Antiphon Verlag

Лист

9.46 € 18.50 лв

Eisen- und Stahl-Industrie Oskar Stillich

С меки корици

37.75 € 73.84 лв

Bella y oscura Montero

С меки корици

22.39 € 43.79 лв

Creo en el Señor crucificado y resucitado

С твърди корици

56.58 € 110.66 лв

Eine Einfuehrung in Die Philosophische Anthropologie Heinz Witteriede

С меки корици

42.87 € 83.85 лв

It is widely held that Bayesian decision theory is the final word on how a rational person should make decisions. However, Leonard Savage - the inventor of Bayesian decision theory - argued that it would be ridiculous to use his theory outside the kind of small world in which it is always possible to 'look before you leap.' If taken seriously, this view makes Bayesian decision theory inappropriate for the large worlds of scientific discovery and macroeconomic enterprise. When is it correct to use Bayesian decision theory - and when does it need to be modified? Using a minimum of mathematics, "Rational Decisions" clearly explains the foundations of Bayesian decision theory and shows why Savage restricted the theory's application to small worlds. The book is a wide-ranging exploration of standard theories of choice and belief under risk and uncertainty. Ken Binmore discusses the various philosophical attitudes related to the nature of probability and offers resolutions to paradoxes believed to hinder further progress. In arguing that the Bayesian approach to knowledge is inadequate in a large world, Binmore proposes an extension to Bayesian decision theory - allowing the idea of a mixed strategy in game theory to be expanded to a larger set of what Binmore refers to as 'muddled' strategies. Written by one of the world's leading game theorists, "Rational Decisions" is the touchstone for anyone needing a concise, accessible, and expert view on Bayesian decision making.